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Richard

Rasmussen Reports

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Nevada (D, 43 Delegates):
Ward - 222,884 (40.99%,18)
Solin - 203,661 (37.45%, 16)
Hong - 117,267 (21.56%, 9)

South Carolina (D, 59 Delegates):
Ward - 490,310 (54.00%, 32)
Hong - 224,477 (24.72%, 15)
Solin - 193,176 (21.28%, 12)

Democrats Abroad (D, 21 Delegates):
Solin - 1,869 (37.37%,8)
Ward - 1,863 (37.25%, ­čśÄ
Hong - 1,269 (25.38%, 5)

Democrat Delegate Totals (4,754 total, 2,378 needed):
Calvin Ward: 89
Mike Solin: 61
Louis Hong: 57

´╗┐Democratic Presidential Primary ´╗┐Polling
Representative Calvin Ward (AR): 40.25%
´╗┐Senator Mike Solin (OH): 34.37%
´╗┐Representative Louis Hong (LA): 25.38%

South Carolina (R, 50 Degeates, WTA):
Conway - 555,495 (48.07%, 50)
Macmillan - 485,575 (42.02%)
Hayton - 114,519 (9.91%)

Nevada (R, 30 Delegates):
Conway - 260,342 (49.83%, 15)
Macmillan - 231,628 (44.33%, 13)
Hayton - 30,516 (5.84%, 2)

Alabama (R, 50 Delegates, 20% Threshold):
Conway - 651,317 (48.99%, 29)
Macmillan - 472,472 (35.54%, 21)
Hayton - 205,616 (15.47%)

Republican Delegate Totals (2,472 total, 1,237 needed):
Will Conway: 119
Dylan Macmillan: 54
Tom Hayton: 10

Republican Presidential Primary Polling
Speaker Dylan Macmillan (VA): 40.97%
´╗┐Senator Will Conway (FL): 40.82%
´╗┐Senator Tom Hayton (IN): 18.21%

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Republican Primary Results

State Macmillan Hayton Conway D M M% H% C% M D H D C D
Alaska 70639 23476 79524 28 60 41% 14% 46% 11 4 13
California 2510800 1029145 2076491 172 42 45% 18% 37% 77 32 64
Georgia 918100 370061 842534 76 61 43% 17% 40% 40 0 36
Massachusetts 591030 201154 505788 42 55 46% 15% 39% 19 7 16
Minnesota 689166 250157 510732 38 59 48% 17% 35% 18 7 13
Oklahoma 394220 145137 372236 43 63 43% 16% 41% 19 7 18
Tennessee 682053 247885 619888 58 64 44% 16% 40% 30 0 28
Texas 2186974 944442 1991693 155 74 43% 18% 39% 81 0 74
Vermont 43801 13358 59185 16 59 38% 11% 51% 7 0 9
Virginia 956313 332451 776543 49 61 46% 16% 38% 23 8 18
Kansas 339547 112926 254370 40 62 48% 16% 36% 19 6 14
Kentucky 500846 203930 428142 46 63 44% 18% 38% 20 8 17
Louisiana 526095 196686 492327 46 63 43% 16% 41% 24 0 22
Maine 145740 48504 150417 23 60 42% 14% 44% 10 3 10
Puerto Rico 4299 1728 3973 23 0 43% 17% 40% 10 4 9
Hawaii 84804 18582 56460 19 59 53% 12% 35% 10 2 7
Idaho 214269 54915 148847 32 61 51% 13% 36% 19 0 13
Michigan 1011063 467048 907712 59 59 42% 20% 38% 25 12 22
Missouri 639564 264879 688859 52 62 40% 17% 43% 0 0 52
Mississippi 385498 122275 316134 40 62 47% 15% 38% 19 6 15
Ohio 1285967 560598 1085120 66 60 44% 19% 37% 29 13 24
Virgin Islands 4317 1716 3966 9 0 43% 17% 40% 4 2 4

 

Total Delegates (2,472 total, 1,237 needed)
Conway: 617
Macmillan: 568
Hayton: 131

Edited by Richard

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State Ward Hong Solin D M W% H% S% W D H D S D
Alabama 405082 209523 235342 60 56 48% 25% 28% 29 15 17
American Samoa 4018 2548 3434 10 0 40% 25% 34% 4 3 3
California 3141100 1944525 2996563 548 77 39% 24% 37% 213 132 203
Colorado 569103 339180 495510 78 61 41% 24% 35% 32 19 28
Georgia 815966 520897 629932 117 59 41% 26% 32% 49 31 37
Massachusetts 762248 486464 781450 116 65 38% 24% 38% 44 28 45
Minnesota 614649 413945 606574 93 61 38% 25% 37% 35 24 34
Oklahoma 199405 159622 131830 42 57 41% 33% 27% 17 14 11
Tennessee 450287 275588 307341 75 56 44% 27% 30% 33 20 22
Texas 1377178 867669 1030583 251 46 42% 26% 31% 106 66 79
Vermont 77549 55570 64979 26 61 39% 28% 33% 10 7 9
Virginia 831537 527540 625238 109 59 42% 27% 32% 46 29 34
Kansas 203960 135227 172664 52 59 40% 26% 34% 21 14 18
Louisiana 351605 275876 252425 59 57 40% 31% 29% 24 18 17
Maine 166876 106198 131540 30 60 41% 26% 33% 12 8 10
Nebraska 128994 87244 109253 30 59 40% 27% 34% 12 8 10
Michigan 1057772 603250 923620 147 61 41% 23% 36% 60 34 53
Missouri 565306 305723 432582 84 58 43% 23% 33% 36 20 28
Mississippi 240376 137969 148415 41 58 46% 26% 28% 19 11 12
Ohio 1155283 700803 1075599 160 60 39% 24% 37% 63 38 59

 

Total Delegates (4,754 total, 2,378 needed):
Ward - 954
Solin - 790
Hong - 596

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Total %
Polls
Ward Hong Solin W Delegates H Delegates S Delegates
National 48.00% 13.02% 38.98% 48.63% 12.39% 38.98%
Alabama 47.66% 24.65% 27.69% 28 15 17
Alaska 58.67% 0.00% 41.33% 12 0 8
Arizona 62.38% 0.00% 37.62% 53 0 32
Arkansas 62.38% 0.00% 37.62% 23 0 14
California 38.86% 24.06% 37.08% 213 132 203
Colorado 40.54% 24.16% 35.30% 32 19 27
Connecticut 55.30% 0.00% 44.70% 39 0 32
Delaware 59.41% 0.00% 40.59% 18 0 13
DC 59.67% 0.00% 40.33% 27 0 19
Florida 55.81% 0.00% 44.19% 137 0 109
Georgia 41.49% 26.48% 32.03% 49 31 37
Hawaii 58.06% 0.00% 41.94% 20 0 15
Idaho 58.31% 0.00% 41.69% 16 0 11
Illinois 52.11% 0.00% 47.89% 95 0 87
Indiana 55.78% 0.00% 44.22% 51 0 41
Iowa 34.25% 29.26% 36.49% 18 15 19
Kansas 39.85% 26.42% 33.73% 15 10 12
Kentucky 55.25% 0.00% 44.75% 33 0 27
Louisiana 39.96% 31.35% 28.69% 24 18 17
Maine 41.24% 26.25% 32.51% 12 8 10
Maryland 56.45% 0.00% 43.55% 67 0 51
Massachusetts 37.55% 23.96% 38.49% 43 28 45
Michigan 40.93% 23.34% 35.73% 60 34 53
Minnesota 37.59% 25.32% 37.10% 35 24 34
Mississippi 45.63% 26.19% 28.18% 19 11 11
Missouri 43.36% 23.45% 33.18% 36 20 28
Montana 58.79% 0.00% 41.21% 16 0 11
Nebraska 39.63% 26.80% 33.57% 12 8 10
Nevada 40.99% 21.56% 37.45% 18 9 16
New Hampshire 39.76% 41.88% 18.36% 13 13 6
New Jersey 56.42% 0.00% 43.58% 80 0 62
New Mexico 58.24% 0.00% 41.76% 25 0 18
New York 53.14% 0.00% 46.86% 155 0 136
North Carolina 57.01% 0.00% 42.99% 69 0 52
North Dakota 57.39% 0.00% 42.61% 13 0 10
Ohio 39.41% 23.90% 36.69% 63 38 59
Oklahoma 40.62% 32.52% 26.86% 17 14 11
Oregon 56.75% 0.00% 43.25% 42 0 32
Pennsylvania 56.61% 0.00% 43.39% 119 0 91
Rhode Island 58.07% 0.00% 41.93% 19 0 14
South Carolina 54.00% 24.72% 21.28% 32 15 12
South Dakota 56.81% 0.00% 43.19% 14 0 11
Tennessee 43.58% 26.67% 29.75% 33 20 22
Texas 42.05% 26.49% 31.46% 106 66 79
Utah 58.25% 0.00% 41.75% 22 0 15
Vermont 39.15% 28.05% 32.80% 10 7 9
Virginia 41.91% 26.59% 31.51% 46 29 34
Washington 54.05% 0.00% 45.95% 64 0 54
West Virginia 56.56% 0.00% 43.44% 21 0 16
Wisconsin 55.40% 0.00% 44.60% 53 0 43
Wyoming 58.89% 0.00% 41.11% 11 0 7
American Samoa 55.22% 0.00% 44.78% 6 0 4
Dems Abroad 37.25% 25.37% 37.37% 8 5 8
Guam 55.08% 0.00% 44.92% 7 0 5
Northern Marianas 55.04% 0.00% 44.96% 6 0 4
Puerto Rico 55.22% 0.00% 44.78% 31 0 25
Virgin Islands 55.22% 0.00% 44.78% 6 0 5
Total 32,843,784 8,906,080 26,675,645 2,312 589 1,853

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Total %
Polls
Macmillan Hayton Conway M Delegates H Delegates C Delegates
National 43.43% 15.98% 40.58% 47.25% 6.47% 46.28%
Alabama 35.54% 15.47% 48.99% 21 0 29
Alaska 40.68% 13.52% 45.80% 11 4 13
Arizona 41.49% 15.23% 43.28% 0 0 58
Arkansas 44.72% 12.73% 42.55% 20 0 20
California 44.70% 18.32% 36.97% 77 31 64
Colorado 43.66% 15.51% 40.83% 16 6 15
Connecticut 43.16% 13.67% 43.17% 0 0 28
Delaware 44.34% 10.52% 45.14% 0 0 16
DC 46.19% 10.34% 43.47% 10 0 9
Florida 41.35% 17.03% 41.62% 0 0 99
Georgia 43.09% 17.37% 39.54% 40 0 36
Hawaii 53.05% 11.62% 35.32% 10 2 7
Idaho 51.26% 13.14% 35.61% 19 0 13
Illinois 40.91% 18.26% 40.83% 69 0 0
Indiana 40.50% 17.79% 41.71% 0 0 57
Iowa 36.54% 16.94% 46.53% 11 5 14
Kansas 48.01% 15.82% 36.17% 19 6 15
Kentucky 44.44% 17.74% 37.82% 21 8 17
Louisiana 43.62% 16.05% 40.33% 24 0 22
Maine 42.96% 14.13% 42.91% 10 3 10
Maryland 44.81% 13.65% 41.54% 38 0 0
Massachusetts 45.53% 15.50% 38.97% 19 7 16
Michigan 42.38% 19.58% 38.05% 25 12 22
Minnesota 47.53% 17.25% 35.22% 18 7 13
Mississippi 46.79% 14.84% 38.37% 22 0 18
Missouri 40.14% 16.62% 43.23% 0 0 52
Montana 44.92% 10.82% 44.26% 27 0 0
Nebraska 44.64% 13.47% 41.89% 36 0 0
Nevada 44.33% 5.84% 49.83% 13 2 15
New Hampshire 34.22% 16.35% 49.42% 8 4 11
New Jersey 43.59% 6.70% 49.71% 0 0 51
New Mexico 44.42% 11.61% 43.97% 12 0 12
New York 44.13% 16.80% 39.07% 50 0 45
North Carolina 43.22% 15.67% 41.11% 31 11 30
North Dakota 43.46% 14.85% 41.69% 12 4 12
Ohio 43.86% 19.12% 37.01% 29 13 24
Oklahoma 43.25% 15.92% 40.83% 19 7 17
Oregon 43.64% 13.67% 42.69% 12 4 12
Pennsylvania 47.97% 11.92% 40.11% 71 0 0
Rhode Island 42.41% 11.47% 46.12% 8 2 9
South Carolina 42.02% 9.91% 48.07% 0 0 50
South Dakota 44.34% 12.25% 43.41% 29 0 0
Tennessee 44.01% 15.99% 40.00% 30 0 28
Texas 42.69% 18.43% 38.88% 81 0 74
Utah 43.48% 15.02% 41.50% 17 6 17
Vermont 37.65% 11.48% 50.87% 7 0 9
Virginia 46.30% 16.10% 37.60% 23 8 18
Washington 43.18% 14.96% 41.86% 22 0 22
West Virginia 45.31% 10.80% 43.89% 34 0 0
Wisconsin 43.61% 17.35% 39.04% 42 0 0
Wyoming 44.37% 12.98% 42.65% 29 0 0
American Samoa 43.21% 16.72% 40.07% 4 1 4
Guam 43.18% 16.79% 40.03% 4 1 4
Northern Marianas 43.18% 16.79% 40.03% 4 1 4
Puerto Rico 42.99% 17.28% 39.73% 10 4 9
Virgin Islands 43.17% 17.16% 39.66% 4 1 4
Total 29,244,496 10,761,790 27,323,720 1168 160 1144

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Presidential Race Polling

Calvin Ward: 50.40%
Dylan Macmillan: 49.60%

Safe R (143)
Alabama
Alaska
Arkansas
Idaho
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Mississippi
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
West Virginia
Wyoming

Likely R (11)
Indiana

Lean R (50)
Arizona
Georgia
Missouri
Virginia

Toss-Up (21)
Iowa
North Carolina

Lean D (80)
Delaware
Florida
Nevada
New Hampshire
Ohio
Pennsylvania

Likely D (52)
Colorado
Michigan
Minnesota
Oregon
Wisconsin

Safe D (181)
California
Connecticut
DC
Hawaii
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont
Washington

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Post-Convention Polling
Macmillan: 50.5%
Ward: 49.5%

Safe R (154)
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
Idaho
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Mississippi
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
West Virginia
Wyoming

Likely R (59)
Delaware
Georgia
Indiana
Missouri
Nevada
Virginia

Lean R (30)
Iowa
New Hampshire
New Mexico
North Carolina

Toss-Up (58)
Florida
Maine
Ohio
Oregon

Lean D (59)
Colorado
Hawaii
Michigan
Pennsylvania

Likely D (33)
Connecticut
Minnesota
Rhode Island
Washington

Safe D (145)
California
DC
Illinois
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Vermont

Edited by Richard

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2020 Senate Polls
State GOP Cand. DNC Cand. Other Cand. Republican Democrat Other Status
Alabama Jeff Sessions Doug Jones Other 50.64% 43.38% 5.98% HOLD
Alaska Dan Sullivan Bill Wielechowski Other 48.33% 45.60% 6.07% HOLD
Arkansas Tom Cotton Clarke Tucker Other 55.92% 37.58% 3.50% HOLD
Colorado Cory Gardner John Alexander Other 49.08% 47.32% 3.60% HOLD
Delaware Gregory Lavelle Chris Coons Other 40.86% 55.47% 3.67% HOLD
Georgia David Perdue Teresa Tomlinson Other 45.68% 50.82% 3.50% GAIN
Idaho Jim Risch AJ Balukoff Other 55.81% 40.58% 3.61% HOLD
Illinois Adam Kinzinger Cheri Bustos Other 42.81% 53.62% 3.58% HOLD
Iowa Joni Ernst Robb Hogg Other 46.60% 49.79% 3.61% GAIN
Kansas Ron Ryckman Jim Ward Other 53.22% 43.23% 3.55% HOLD
Kentucky Mitch McConnell Adam Edelen Other 57.07% 39.28% 3.66% HOLD
Louisiana Bill Cassidy Louie Hong Other 42.47% 54.56% 2.97% GAIN
Maine Susan Collins Erin Herbig Other 54.54% 42.16% 3.30% HOLD
Massachusetts Karyn Polito Joe Kennedy III Other 41.24% 55.23% 3.53% HOLD
Michigan Justin Amash Gary Peters Other 48.96% 47.88% 3.16% GAIN
Minnesota Quavis Davis Steve Simon Other 47.14% 48.49% 4.37% GAIN
Mississippi Stacey Pickering Musgrove Other 49.80% 46.78% 3.42% GAIN
Montana Steve Daines Steve Bullock Other 51.60% 44.92% 3.48% HOLD
Nebraska Ben Sasse Jane Kleeb Other 58.65% 37.53% 3.82% HOLD
New Hampshire Frank Guinta Jeanne Shaheen Other 45.54% 51.01% 3.45% HOLD
New Jersey Tom Kean, Jr. Cory Booker Other 44.80% 51.72% 3.48% HOLD
New Mexico Nate Gentry Maggie Oliver Other 45.93% 50.47% 3.59% HOLD
North Carolina Thom Tillis Anthony Foxx Other 48.53% 47.98% 3.49% HOLD
Oklahoma Scott Pruitt Connie Johnson Other 56.20% 40.08% 3.72% HOLD
Oregon Tim Knopp Jeff Merkley Other 42.98% 53.31% 3.71% HOLD
Rhode Island Scott Avedisian Jack Reed Other 41.32% 55.23% 3.44% HOLD
South Carolina Lindsey Graham Todd Rutherford Other 53.63% 42.85% 3.52% HOLD
South Dakota Mike Rounds Brendan Johnson Other 57.60% 38.70% 3.70% HOLD
Tennessee Peyton Manning Madeline Rogero Other 54.86% 41.64% 3.50% HOLD
Texas John Cornyn Julian Castro Other 53.67% 42.85% 3.48% HOLD
Virginia Scott Taylor Mark Warner Other 47.13% 49.74% 3.13% HOLD
West Virginia Capito Carte Goodwin Other 57.99% 38.56% 3.45% HOLD
Wyoming Nicole Redstaff Dave Freudenthal Other 52.63% 42.61% 4.76% HOLD

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